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Dull Disasters?: How planning ahead will make a difference
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Review
"With innovations in science and finance, making disasters 'dull' must be our aim. Shocks don't need to become full blown disasters, if we better anticipate and pre-plan for shocks, and reinforce local response capacity. The World Humanitarian Summit and what flows from it provide a key opportunity to make this happen." -- Stephen O'Brien, United Nations Under-Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs and Emergency Relief Coordinator, United Nations Office for Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs"A thought-provoking book with a selection of excellent ideas for managing risks. For a country like Ethiopia subject to frequent drought the ideas on planning for and managing shocks in advance makes sense. Climate change makes it even more likely that the frequency of these shocks will increase in the future, and we need to plan for this. This kind of approach, linking the public and private sector in insuring and financing disasters, gives us much to take and consider." -- Sufian Ahmed, Adviser to the Prime Minister of Ethiopia; Former Minister of Finance, Ethiopi"This book is a timely and valuable contribution to an important global conversation on addressing risk and vulnerability. Disasters are becoming more severe and the impact of climate change - the ultimate threat multiplier - is exacerbating food insecurity, water scarcity, conflict and migration. In Dull Disasters, the authors offer a persuasive message: today's disasters need leaders who do not just respond emotionally and energetically to crises, but leaders who use political, legal, and financial mechanisms that result in better preparedness." -- Gloria Grandolini, Sr. Director Finance and Markets Global Practice, The World Bank Group"Countries have a great deal to gain from anticipating the use of a portfolio of financial instruments to improve their capacity to cope with disasters and manage catastrophic risks. Doing so requires careful diagnostics, design, experimentation, and evaluation. Yet, this is a vastly under-researched topic. In that perspective, the book makes a unique contribution to the literature by critically summarizing the current state of research on this issue and constructing a research agenda. This will be most useful in guiding future research on the management of disaster risk and recovery." -- Alain de Janvry, Professor of Agricultural & Resource Economics, University of California at Berkeley"Natural catastrophes are increasing in frequency and severity. What is more, the gap between economic and insured losses has remained stubbornly large. The consequences are especially severe in emerging and developing countries, which are both the worst hit and the least prepared. Tools exist to narrow that gap using innovative solutions that can help countries, cities and individuals preserve hard-won development gains even in the face of floods, earthquakes, adverse weather and other setbacks. This book highlights a sensible way forward to make the world more resilient." -- Martyn Parker, Chairman Global Partnership, Swiss Re"Given the increasing frequency and severity of natural disasters brought on by climate change and the stress of massive numbers of displaced people placed on all of society due to man-made disasters, planning for disasters is increasingly crucial for society. This book brings the needs, principles and processes together in a highly readable fashion. It is a must read for all policy makers and students of public, private, and non-government institutions." -- Jerry Skees, H. B. Price Professor of Agricultural Policy and Risk, University of Kentucky
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About the Author
Daniel J. Clarke is an actuary and development economist who works as a Senior Insurance Specialist in the Disaster Risk Financing & Insurance Program, a joint program between the World Bank Group and the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery. Over the last decade he has worked with more than twenty developing country governments to develop efficient, cost-effective solutions for enhanced financial protection against disasters. He has a first class degree from Cambridge University in Mathematics in Computer Science and a D.Phil. in Economics from the University of Oxford, and is a Fellow of the Institute of Actuaries.Stefan Dercon is Professor of Economic Policy at the University of Oxford, and a Professorial Fellow of Wolfson College. He is also Chief Economist of the UK Department for International Development. Previously he taught in Belgium and at the University of Addis Ababa. His interest is in applying microeconomics and statistics to problems of development. He has worked on risk and poverty, agriculture and rural institutions, political economy, childhood poverty, social and geographic mobility, micro-insurance, and measurement issues related to poverty and vulnerability.
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Product details
Hardcover: 160 pages
Publisher: Oxford University Press; 1 edition (July 16, 2016)
Language: English
ISBN-10: 9780198785576
ISBN-13: 978-0198785576
ASIN: 0198785577
Product Dimensions:
8.6 x 0.7 x 5.5 inches
Shipping Weight: 9.9 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
Average Customer Review:
3.7 out of 5 stars
3 customer reviews
Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
#1,923,335 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
More like a booklet than a book, and only for specialized audiences, not informative for the general readership.
This is quite a densely written book with many references to the published literature on the subject, so not one for the average interested reader. This is not to disparage the contents. The spelling used is American but tone uninvolved, observing from an office rather than on the ground. At the end of each chapter a summary revisits the content.Quite correctly the authors point out that having a natural disaster plan agreed upon in advance helps everyone, from first responders to those affected and the government that wants to help them rebuild. Drought, flood, earthquake, tsunami and storms are mentioned, also climate change and conflicts. Figures provided are from the UN, World Bank etc. The authors hope to see that a disaster need not bring tragedy.The impression I received is that some readers may be going to work in the insurance industry and will be underwriting or directly involved in funding disaster relief plans. We are told of village cultures in India or Africa which provide for funerals with a club, all paying a set amount yearly and anyone needing to pay for a funeral given a set amount. (But the money doesn't seem to earn for them, so they never get richer, unlike a co-op.) We are also told of Mexico which has a fund called FONDEN which pays relief after earthquakes and other disasters.Some farmers in occasionally risky weather areas will buy crop insurance but will need to prove they planted drought resistant seed or applied pesticide before they can claim. This is not so much in case of fraud but what the authors call a moral hazard situation whereby a farmer may not take precautions if she knows she will be compensated for a coincidentally poor crop.I was interested to read the section on how disaster funds and governments should 'think like an insurer' by planning for a payout and reinsuring some of the risk. Japan is cited as a case of swift highway rebuilding due to forward planning. I thought a line should be present saying that if insurers and governments are worried about the cost of climate change, they should divest from carbon-intensive firms and invest in carbon neutral ones. Why be part of the problem?No mention that I saw of the bugbear of corruption. This was exposed as far back as Live Aid when Bob Geldof had to go and get officials on camera before they would admit food aid to the country - the usual bribes would not be given, the officals would have no chance to appropriate some aid, or to see it mostly got to their family, tribe, religion or political faction.No mention of how disaster relief money is often soaked up by companies and NGOs from outside the affected country, arriving to distribute imported goods, build with imported teams and provide imported services.No mention of how recipient governments can shunt disaster relief money aside for internal political purposes and buy all the soldiers new rifles.No mention of how disasters are often an opportunity to expel local people from their land, so resources end up in the hands of the wealthy. Nor of how to see that officials apportion compensation fairly; a man who owns a fine house and rents out six more tends to get all his destroyed houses rebuilt before the man who lost one shanty gets a roof.No mention of how bribes may have seen that houses got built on fault zones or flood zones in the first place, and they will be again. At what point do you advise stopping insuring? At what point do you stop providing food aid because the locals see no reason to limit family size if there's always someone coming along with a box of protein biscuits and a bag of meal?To me it seems that corruption should be mentioned; because a fund is responsible for making return on investments, and shouldn't pay fraudulent claims, and is responsible for how the relief it disburses out of that fund is used. The authors of course are entitled to their own opinions.The imagery presented is minimal and limited to 'the medieval begging bowl' and 'Odysseus and the Sirens' - both revisited several times. No photos and no visual charts, maps or graphs, just a few tables of information. I thought the presentation could have been richer and stronger with visuals. I also would have liked some narrative element - say, a day in the life of an agent who hears of a disaster and notifies the other people she needs to meet with, how they make plans for that part of the world and that type of disaster, if weather is an ongoing hazard or armed conflict is cause for delay. Without this interview the book seems abstract... though such interviews might be found among the references.No mentions of blockchain, cellphones, satellite phones, drones, satellite imagery, solar panels, all of which are proving enormously useful in disaster assessment and relief distribution.My hardback has a useful glossary P109 - 112 and notes, references and index P113 - 139. The notes told interesting stories of actual disaster responses, from Nepal to Japan, New Zealand and Sudan, which I would have been inclined to place in the body of the text. I found 21 names which I could be sure were female, but many references were given by initials.I borrowed this book from the Royal Dublin Society Library. This is an unbiased review.You may also be interested in:The Price of Thirst by Karen PiperDisaster Capitalism by Antony LoewensteinThe Disaster Profiteers by John C MutterThis Changes Everything by Naomi KleinHoping to Help by Judith N Lasker.
As a dedicated Insurance-linked securities (ILS) and reinsurance professional, I was delighted to find and read this relevant and timely gem. Daniel Clarke and Stefan Dercon cleverly and persuasively address the complex challenges the nation-state (and their international partners) face from the destructive forces of Mother Nature. The wisdom shared in this book will be useful to the various stakeholders of society and applied to natural events globally.Don’t be fooled by the title ‘Dull Disasters?’ this book is anything but dull. In parts, the book seems to be an uncomfortable mirror of reality. More deeply, though, the book is something else. It offers a new perspective and suggests tools on how to improve things and therefore is a book of hope on how to dull natural disasters. A good book to read and re-read, highly recommended!(Antonio Guevara, London)
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